The forward P/E ratio of the S&P 500 had been tracking the inverse of the 30-year Treasury yield in the last 10 years until early 2023 when they diverged. The forward P/E and Treasury yields rose together, which made bonds more attractive. That’s the TARA valuation threat to U.S. equities.
![](https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEikqGw6rBkTQPGlsPaXrcjQqELRacRLCvDTJz1JbYuVKip4ejKDrUjYZzPyRCHHAt21miz2xF_XUh9gJJ0hq7ryTONSEMt10BqrAUmv165u1Q6F8Exr3QLWozG5-fGGYagXVuYBP37O6N__H8yTQJ6rm4_M7X8D_O-JESlrzzKMovqtH2uK4suxATP93vpG/w400-h363/Factset%20fwd%20PE%20and%20TYX.png)
On top of that, there’s another emerging TARA valuation threat – and it’s coming from Japan.
The full post can be found here.