General Electric Shares Have Plunged; Is it Time to Buy?

General Electric's (GE) stock plunged nearly 12% in price after the company released its first-quarter earnings report. The company provided a weak outlook for the coming quarters, raising investors' concerns about its prospects. However, given rebounding aviation demand, is it worth betting on the stock now? Read on to learn what we think.

Boston-based General Electric Company (GE) is a high-tech industrial company that operates in four segments: Power; Renewable Energy; Aviation; and Capital. After reporting good quarterly growth for its jet-engine unit as commercial flight traffic returns from a pandemic-driven slump, GE cautioned that supply-chain disruption would pressure its operations this year.

On a conference call, company executives stated that they expect these challenges to persist into the second quarter. They anticipate that GE's adjusted free cash flow, a crucial indicator of profitability, will be negative in the second quarter but will be better than the negative $880 million reported in the first.

The company's shares slumped nearly 12% in price after it posted its quarterly report. Also, the stock is down 28.6% over the past year and 18.6% over the past month to close yesterday's trading session at $72.44. In addition, the stock hit its 52-week low of $71.14 on May 10, 2022.

Here is what could shape GE's performance in the near term:

Headwinds

A dye shortage for medical scans made in China by General Electric's healthcare unit is affecting regions other than the United States, with a German hospital warning of a supply constraint. According to a spokesperson for GE Healthcare, the weeks-long outage at the company's Shanghai production plant caused by the city's COVID-19 shutdown is hurting U.S. hospitals and other international locations, though to a lesser extent. This could impact the company's revenue growth and pose significant operational challenges.

Mixed financials

GE's total revenue declined slightly year-over-year to $17.04 billion for the three months ended March 31, 2022. Its operating expenses increased slightly from its year-ago value to $17.64 billion. The company's net loss declined 61.9% year-over-year to $1.09 billion. Its loss per share came in at $0.99 over this period.

Mixed Profitability

GE's  $4.74 billion trailing-12-months cash from operations  is 2543.8% higher than the $179.10 million industry average. Its 57.9% trailing-12-months levered FCF margin is significantly higher than the 3.9% industry average. GE’s trailing-12-months ROA, net income margin, and ROE are negative 2.5%, 6.4%, and 12.1%, respectively. Also, its 24.9% trailing-12-months gross profit margin  is 14.9% lower than 29.3% the industry average.

POWR Ratings Reflect Uncertainty

GE has an overall C rating, which equates to a Neutral in our proprietary POWR Ratings system. The POWR ratings are calculated by considering 118 distinct factors, with each factor weighted to an optimal degree.

Our proprietary rating system also evaluates each stock based on eight distinct categories. GE has a C grade for Quality. The company's mixed profitability and financials are consistent with the Quality grade.

Among the 37 stocks in the B-rated Industrial – Manufacturing industry, GE is ranked #21.

Beyond what I have stated above, you can view GE ratings for Growth, Momentum, Stability, Value, and Sentiment here.

Click here to check out our Industrial Sector Report for 2022

Bottom Line

GE provided a conservative prognosis for 2022 after surpassing quarterly sales and profit expectations while falling short on free cash flow. Though the company expects aviation demand to remain strong, its weak outlook for the coming quarters is concerning. In addition, the stock is currently trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages of $87.76 and $97.38, respectively, indicating bearish sentiment. So, we believe investors should wait for its prospects to stabilize before betting on the stock.

How Does General Electric Company (GE) Stack Up Against its Peers?

While GE has an overall C rating, one might want to consider its industry peers, Hillenbrand Inc (HI), Vishay Precision Group Inc. (VPG), and Core Molding Technologies Inc. (CMT), which have an overall A (Strong Buy) rating.


GE shares rose $0.58 (+0.79%) in premarket trading Friday. Year-to-date, GE has declined -22.36%, versus a -17.14% rise in the benchmark S&P 500 index during the same period.



About the Author: Pragya Pandey

Pragya is an equity research analyst and financial journalist with a passion for investing. In college she majored in finance and is currently pursuing the CFA program and is a Level II candidate.

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