fwp
Filed Pursuant To Rule 433
Registration No. 333-167132
November 29, 2010
Behind Golds New Glister: Miners Big Bet on a Fund
By LIAM PLEVEN and CAROLYN CUI
Published by the Wall Street Journa/wsj.com
NOVEMBER 25, 2010
The innovation that opened gold investing to the masses and helped spur this years
record-breaking bull market was hatched in an act of desperation by a little-known gold-mining
trade group.
The World Gold Council, created to promote gold, was fighting for survival. Its membersglobal
gold-mining companieswere frustrated with the councils inability to stem two decades of depressed
prices and find buyers for a growing glut of the yellow metal. Eight years ago, they were
considering withdrawing funding from the trade group, a move that would have effectively shut it
down.
World Gold Council executives Jim Ross, Aram Shishmanian and James Burton celebrated GLDs
5th anniversary in November 2009.
Chris Thompson, the groups chairman, figured the council needed to expand the pool of gold buyers,
particularly in the U.S. The idea of trading gold on an exchange had been floating around for
years, but various hurdles had prevented it from taking off in America.
What the council eventually managed to create in those dark days surpassed its wildest dreams: SPDR
Gold Shares, the exchange-traded fund launched in November 2004. The fund, known by its ticker
symbol GLD, has ballooned into a $56.7 billion behemoth.
Today, GLD is the fastest-growing major investment fund ever, according to research company Lipper
Inc., and one of the most active gold traders in the market. Its presence has helped goldwhich
settled down 0.33% in New York trading Wednesday, at $1,372.90 a troy ouncetriple in price in
recent years to fresh all-time highs this month.
As the worlds largest private owner of bullion, GLD is soaking up $30 million of gold daily,
stored in a London vault that now holds the equivalent of about six months worth of the worlds
entire gold-mining production.
The revolution that opened gold investing to the masses and helped spur a record-breaking bull
market was hatched in an act of desperation by an obscure gold-mining trade group. WSJs Emma Moody
explains SPDR Gold Shares.
GLD has won fans who say it has democratized the gold market, paving the way for investors of all
stripes to get direct exposure to the precious metal. Its nearly 1 million investors include
ordinary individuals, institutions like Northern Trust Corp. and billionaire hedge-fund managers
like John Paulson.
But skeptics argue GLD could become a Godzilla-like beast if the gold rally reverses sharply. They
say its buying has already turbo-charged gold prices, exposing the market, and legions of small
investors, to a rapid fall. Smaller copycat funds add to the risk.
We tell our clients to watch out for it, because its there, and its a real risk, said Jeffrey
Christian, founder of CPM Group, which advises major investors worldwide on gold.
The questions come as ETFs in general are coming under heightened scrutiny about whether they
distort markets. ETFs are wildly popular and growing fast, spanning stocks, bonds and hard assets.
But they have made it possible for far more money to rush in and out of previously illiquid
markets.
GLD shares trade on the New York Stock Exchange, as well as in Tokyo, Hong Kong, Singapore and
Mexico City. Each share represents one-tenth of an ounce of gold. That, in effect, gives
shareholders the right to their share of proceeds from selling a full bar, minus fees. Before GLD
issues new shares, it takes in the necessary gold to back them. On days when there are more sellers
than buyers of GLD shares, the fund offloads some of its gold.
Stockpiling
SPDR Gold Shares has quickly become one of the worlds biggest gold holders
Created under the auspices of the World Gold Council, the fund relies on a number of partners. It
is marketed under the banner of State Street Global Advisors, which has fund-selling expertise.
HSBC PLC stores and protects the gold bars. Bank of New York Mellon Corp. handles daily operations,
such as calculating the funds net asset value. For all its size and breadth, fund managers say,
its relatively simple to operate. BNY Mellon, for instance, needs roughly a dozen employees to run
the fund day-to-day.
That has helped make it a windfall for all involved. The gold council, which spent $14 million
developing the fund, has reaped about $150 million from its inception through Sept. 30. Its revenue
is a percentage of net asset value, set at 0.15%. State Street has the same terms and also
collected about $150 million in that time. Both are on track to bring in more than $80 million in
the coming year if GLD stays at todays size.
The success owes much to timing. The council launched the fund as interest in gold was picking up,
first because of inflation worries and then as a safe-haven against financial disasters. Since then
gold prices have more than tripled from $444.80, setting a record highthough not adjusted for
inflationof $1,409.80 on Nov. 9.
The recent rally has been driven by many factors, of which GLD is just one. The U.S. dollar has
steadily lost value, so some investors have bought gold as a hedge against the greenback. Tapping
new ore veins is getting harder. Gold has benefited at once from fears of economic stagnation after
the financial crisis and concern that government spending on the recovery will trigger inflation.
GLD, though, is widely seen as amplifying those trends.
Buying fund shares is easier and cheaper than investing in gold futures or buying coins. And GLD
has now locked up nearly 1,300 metric tons of the worlds gold supply, making the market tighter.
The funds impact has won it a following in the gold industry.
Its got the gold price up, said Nick Holland, chief executive of Gold Fields Ltd., a major
mining company and a member of the gold council. Thats got to be good.
Calculating the impact of GLD and its brethren is far from an exact science. But industry observers
including Mr. Christian and Philip Klapwijk of GFMS Ltd. estimate gold-backed ETFs have probably
added about $100 to $150 an ounce to the price of gold as a result of the incremental increase in
demand.
Translated, that would mean gold-backed ETFs have increased the value of the bullion that gold
miners will produce this year by up to $9 billion.
Many investors believe gold has much further to rise. But after a 10-year, one-way ride, others
worry there could be a violent reversal down the road. The gold market hasnt been severely tested
since GLD and similar, but far smaller, bullion-backed funds were launched.
And many GLD investors arent experienced in gold investing. Between 60% and 80% of GLD investors
had never bought gold before, estimates Jason Toussaint, managing director of the council. No one
knows how those newcomers might react in a sharp downturn.
If GLD shareholders get spooked by drops in the gold price and sell en masse, the fund would have
to dump metal to meet redemptions, possibly accelerating declines by prompting others to sell even
more. Because GLD trades on an exchange, any selloff would be immediately visible, unlike typically
opaque bullion sales.
We are more concerned about these issues than we were initially, said Scott Malpass, chief
investment officer for University of Notre Dame Asset Management, which started buying GLD shares
in 2005 and now has about $70 million invested. It can turn on a dime. It can happen very
quickly. For now, Mr. Malpass thinks the advantages of investing in gold outweigh the risks and
the fund is properly managed.
In the funds planning stages, the worlds miners had modest ambitions.
Gold prices were just starting to stir from a 20-year bear market and many companies were
struggling to break even. Hurdles to gold abounded. It was hard to purchase, store and insure. Some
investors chose to own stocks of gold miners.
The council had long focused on gold jewelry, which represented over 80% of demand but exposed the
industry to economic downturns. In 2002, after the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, jewelry demand for
gold dropped 11%.
Attracting investors, the industry concluded, was the way to go. Mr. Thompson, the chairman, wanted
a CEO for the council who would have credibility with American investors to help implement the
vision. He zeroed in on James Burton, who at the time headed the California Public Employees
Retirement System, one of the biggest institutional investors in the world. Calpers had no direct
investments in gold.
In July 2002, Mr. Burton flew to meet Mr. Thompson in London. Mr. Burton was skeptical, but
curious. Their discussions lasted 12 hoursincluding talks over a round of golf, two rounds of
beers and meals. Mr. Thompson gave an overview of the gold market, and a pitch for why the moment
was ripe to attract retail investors. By the end, Mr. Burton was hooked.
In August 2002, Mr. Burton, who had left Calpers, took over the gold council and immediately
slashed 60% of the 108-person staff, closed half of the 22 offices and set about creating what
became GLD.
The gold council wanted a product that ordinary investors could buy and sell just like a stock. The
challenge was to make shares track the gold price, much like an index fund. The eventual solution
was to create a trust to serve as the legal owner of GLDs gold bars.
Products were launched in Australia and the U.K. But getting a U.S. version took longer than the
council expected.
The mining community backed the idea, but worried it might cannibalize demand for gold-mining
stocks. Since it was to be the first U.S. fund entirely backed by a physical commodity, regulators
also sought to understand how the concept would work. The Securities and Exchange Commission spent
months seeking information about the product and the gold market, say Mr. Burton and Mr. Thompson.
The gold council also needed to hire assorted playersa trustee, a marketing agent and a vault
operator. That process wasnt seamless, either.
Barclays PLC worked for months on the project, then withdrew and built its own fund, the iShares
Gold Trust, which also holds bullion. Barclays sold the iShares exchange-traded fund business to
BlackRock in June 2009, and its smaller gold fund has since become an intense competitor.
The council also wasnt sure how successful the fund would be, and paid UBS Securities $4 million
for underwriting the first 2.3 million shares of GLD, according to regulatory filings. UBS declined
to comment.
I thought it would take a lot more marketing effort to convince people to buy gold in a
securitized form, said Mr. Burton.
But as GLD opened, the pent-up investor demand erupted. The fund hit $1 billion in assets in three
trading days, and $10 billion in just over two years.
It grew pretty quickly, said Jim Ross, head of exchange-traded funds for State Street. The firm
manages 120 exchange-traded funds, as of Sept. 30, and the SPDR S&P 500 fund is the only one larger
than GLD. The fact thats our second-most successful product is still surprising to me, frankly,
Mr. Ross said.
The sniping at GLD also began early. Some gold investors questioned whether the fund held as much
bullion as it said it did, eventually prompting the council to post on its website audit reports by
an independent firm, Inspectorate International Ltd., which conducts two counts each year of GLDs
gold bars in London.
A segment of the gold-investing community still prefers to secure a personal stash. Some want to be
able to get their hands on their bullion in a hurry, particularly in the event of a severe crisis.
Gold-vault operators are cutting fees to lure such investors.
Rivals also highlight worst-case scenarios the fund could face. Ben Davies, chief executive of
London-based Hinde Capital, which oversees a gold fund, noted that GLDs bullion isnt insured. If
the gold is lost, damaged, stolen or destroyed, the trust may not have adequate sources of
recovery, according to the prospectus.
Mr. Toussaint said the council believes HSBCs security measures and the banks other liability
coverage provide protection. Thats the whole reason we put it in a vault in the first place, he
said.
Despite GLDs success, even those involved in the fund acknowledge the rally will eventually end.
We dont believe gold is always going to go up, said State Streets Mr. Ross. No investment
does.
Copyright 2010 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved
SPDR® GOLD TRUST has filed a registration statement (including a prospectus)
with the SEC for the offering to which this communication relates. Before you invest, you should
read the prospectus in that registration statement and other documents the issuer has filed with
the SEC for more complete information about the Trust and this offering. You may get these
documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC Web site at www.sec.gov. Alternatively, the Trust
or any Authorized Participant will arrange to send you the prospectus if you request it by calling
toll free at 1-866-320-4053 or contacting State Street Global Markets, LLC, One Lincoln Street,
Attn: SPDR® Gold Shares, 30th Floor, Boston, MA 02111.